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Monday 12 November 2012

Info Post
Nate "The Great" Silver with new blog post at NYT just up, with several things to chew on, plus this factoid: a couple million votes STILL not counted in California.  He projects about 700,000 fresh margin for Obama, hiking his total edge to 3% nationally. His main thesis, however,  is that turnout remained decent and steady--but only in swing states.  Elsewhere, it fell off, again--by substantial 9%.  

This only underlines but long-expressed demand that the Electoral College  exit off the undemocratic stage.  Voters in the vast majority of states apparently get it--their vote is meaningless in prez elections. 
Competitive states generally turn out voters at slightly higher rates than noncompetitive ones. But as the list of swing states narrows, and as the campaigns become increasingly effective at aiming their resources toward them, the discrepancies may widen in the coming years. Americans outside the battleground states, knowing that their votes will make little difference in the Electoral College, may become less likely to vote at all.

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